Long-horizon fee-revenue reviewRevenue & Fees
How each model performed on this task. Every chart states its N, and the reward carries a 95% confidence interval once there is more than one trial to measure.
Core metrics
Check Pass %
Mean share of the task's checks passing, averaged over trials. N = 10 trials per model.
92%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
90%
GPT-5.5
88%
Claude Opus 4.8
20%
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Extended metrics
Median Time
Wall-clock minutes, median across trials. N = 10 trials per model.
12m
Gemini 3.5 Flash
2m
Gemini 3.1 Pro
1m
Claude Opus 4.8
1m
GPT-5.5
Tool Calls
Tool invocations, median across trials — counted from the trajectories. N = 10 trials per model.
28
Gemini 3.5 Flash
12
Gemini 3.1 Pro
9
Claude Opus 4.8
7
GPT-5.5
Verifier × model pass rate
How often each verifier passed, per model. Green is passing, red is failing — a red band across a row is a verifier nothing clears.
| Verifier | GPT-5.5n=10 | Claude Opus 4.8n=10 | Gemini 3.1 Pron=10 | Gemini 3.5 Flashn=10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| checks (9) | ||||
| cp1_peak_year | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| cp2_peak_year_net | 100% | 70% | 100% | 20% |
| cp3_top_category | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| cp4_top_category_net | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| cp5_oon_launch_year | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| cp6_peak_over_prior_increase | 30% | 50% | 50% | 20% |
| cp7_top_category_share | 80% | 70% | 80% | 20% |
| deliverable_slack_channel_exists | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |
| process_slack_writeback | 100% | 100% | 100% | 20% |